Tail Risk Is Cheap When Nobody Is Scared. That Is When You Buy It
Nobody buys homeowner's insurance while the roof is on fire. Insurance companies won't sell it to you, and if they do, the cost will bankrupt you.
Yet in the stock market, that is exactly how most investors behave.
They ignore risk during quiet bull markets. Then, when a headline triggers a 7% market plunge, they rush to buy protective put options. By then, implied volatility has exploded. Puts cost three to four times their normal price.
The time to buy insurance is when the sun is shining and policies are cheap.
The Self-Funding Insurance Model
Here is how our desk structures crash protection so it never costs our partners out-of-pocket capital:
- Earn Income First: We write regular monthly covered calls at 0.18 delta, generating roughly 1.2% in cash income every 30 to 45 days.
- Allocate 15% to Crash Puts: We take a small slice (15% to 20%) of that incoming cash and buy 6-month out-of-the-money puts 12% to 15% below current index levels.
- Zero Out-of-Pocket Drag: Because the call option paid for the put, our net cash yield remains positive (~1.0% per month) while our downside has a hard, legal floor.
When an unexpected market crash hits, those cheap puts surge 800% to 1,200%. That instant liquidity allows you to buy prime assets at generational discounts while others are forced to liquidate.
How Flourish Adopts This Best Practice
Flourish allocates a fixed 15% to 20% slice of regular option premium income to purchase out-of-the-money crash insurance, funding complete downside protection with zero net out-of-pocket cash.
Flourish Investment Committee
General Partner Desk · Flourish Management LLC
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